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Title: 予測流入量情報を用いたダム事前放流操作の影響分析手法に関する基礎的検討
Other Titles: A Fundamental Impact Analysis of Prior Release Operation at a Reservoir Considering Inflow Prediction
Authors: 天井, 洋平  KAKEN_name
野原, 大督  kyouindb  KAKEN_id
堀, 智晴  KAKEN_name
角, 哲也  kyouindb  KAKEN_id  orcid https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1423-7477 (unconfirmed)
Author's alias: AMAI, Yohei
NOHARA, Daisuke
HORI, Tomoharu
SUMI, Tetsuya
Keywords: 事前放流操作
モンテカルロシミュレーション
予測流入量の模擬発生
prior release operation
Monte Carlo simulation
simulated generation of inflow prediction
Issue Date: Sep-2013
Publisher: 京都大学防災研究所
Journal title: 京都大学防災研究所年報. B = Disaster Prevention Research Institute Annuals. B
Volume: 56
Issue: B
Start page: 617
End page: 624
Abstract: A method for impact analysis of a reservoir's prior release operations precedential to floods is developed as a fundamental study in this paper. A Monte Carlo simulation model of a reservoir's prior release operation coupled with artificial generation model of inflow predictions is proposed here. The inflow predictions can be generated with random errors based on given accuracies of the prediction so as to take impacts of inflow prediction's accuracy on the effectiveness of prior release operations into consideration. Impacts of prior release operations on flood mitigation and water storage for water utilization are then analyzed and discussed by use of proposed simulation model for assumed reservoir operations which are derived from an existing multi-purpose reservoir.
URL: http://www.dpri.kyoto-u.ac.jp/nenpo/nenpo.html
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2433/181507
Appears in Collections:Vol.56 B

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