Downloads: 26

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat 
a60b0p18.pdf717.42 kBAdobe PDFView/Open
Title: 大気大循環モデルを用いた2013年台風第3号Yagiの進路予報実験
Other Titles: Track Forecast Experiments of Typhoon Yagi 2013 with Atmospheric General Circulation Models
Authors: 榎本, 剛  kyouindb  KAKEN_id  orcid https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1946-1168 (unconfirmed)
吉田, 聡  kyouindb  KAKEN_id  orcid https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3151-8550 (unconfirmed)
山崎, 哲  KAKEN_name
中野, 満寿男  KAKEN_name
山根, 省三  KAKEN_name
山口, 宗彦  KAKEN_name
松枝, 未遠  KAKEN_name
Author's alias: ENOMOTO, Takeshi
KUWANO-YOSHIDA, Akira
YAMAZAKI, Akira
NAKANO, Masuo
YAMANE, Shozo
YAMAGUCHI, Munehiko
MATSUEDA, Mio
Keywords: 台風
予報誤差
大気大循環モデル
typhoon
forecast error
atmospheric general circulation model
Issue Date: Sep-2017
Publisher: 京都大学防災研究所
Journal title: 京都大学防災研究所年報. B = Disaster Prevention Research Institute Annuals. B
Volume: 60
Issue: B
Start page: 466
End page: 469
Abstract: Factors causing diversity of operation forecast tracks for Typhoon Yagi 2013 are examined in forecast experiments using ECMWF OpenIFS. The models at three different horizontal resolutions were run from the initial conditions at 12 UTC 9 June prepared from the ECMWF analysis. The finest resolution model predicts northeastward migration and intensity closest to the operational ECMWF forecast, while the coarser models show erroneous westward bias and underdevelopment. Our experimental results suggest that the difference in the track may be attributable to the representation of the trough along the Baiu frontal zone through the change in the steering flow.
URL: http://www.dpri.kyoto-u.ac.jp/publications/nenpo/
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2433/229380
Appears in Collections:Vol.60 B

Show full item record

Export to RefWorks


Export Format: 


Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.