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j.energy.2018.12.131.pdf | 3.62 MB | Adobe PDF | 見る/開く |
タイトル: | Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models |
著者: | Krey, Volker Guo, Fei Kolp, Peter Zhou, Wenji Schaeffer, Roberto Awasthy, Aayushi Bertram, Christoph Boer, Harmen-Sytze de Fragkos, Panagiotis Fujimori, Shinichiro https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7897-1796 (unconfirmed) He, Chenmin Iyer, Gokul Keramidas, Kimon Koberlec, Alexandre C. Oshiro, Ken https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6720-409X (unconfirmed) Reis, Lara Aleluia Shoai-Tehrani, Bianka Vishwanathan, Saritha Capros, Pantelis Drouet, Laurent Edmonds, James E. Garg, Amit Gernaat, David E.H.J. Jiang, Kejun Kannavou, Maria Kitous, Alban Kriegler, Elmar Luderer, Gunnar Mathur, Ritu Muratori, Matteo Sano, Fuminori Vuuren, Detlef P. van |
著者名の別形: | 藤森, 真一郎 |
キーワード: | Integrated assessment models Techno-economic assumptions Capital and O&M costs Conversion efficiency Lifetime Levelised cost of energy |
発行日: | 1-Apr-2019 |
出版者: | Elsevier BV |
誌名: | Energy |
巻: | 172 |
開始ページ: | 1254 |
終了ページ: | 1267 |
抄録: | Integrated assessment models are extensively used in the analysis of climate change mitigation and are informing national decision makers as well as contribute to international scientific assessments. This paper conducts a comprehensive review of techno-economic assumptions in the electricity sector among fifteen different global and national integrated assessment models. Particular focus is given to six major economies in the world: Brazil, China, the EU, India, Japan and the US. The comparison reveals that techno-economic characteristics are quite different across integrated assessment models, both for the base year and future years. It is, however, important to recognize that techno-economic assessments from the literature exhibit an equally large range of parameters as the integrated assessment models reviewed. Beyond numerical differences, the representation of technologies also differs among models, which needs to be taken into account when comparing numerical parameters. While desirable, it seems difficult to fully harmonize techno-economic parameters across a broader range of models due to structural differences in the representation of technology. Therefore, making techno-economic parameters available in the future, together with of the technology representation as well as the exact definitions of the parameters should become the standard approach as it allows an open discussion of appropriate assumptions. |
著作権等: | © 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/2433/237305 |
DOI(出版社版): | 10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.131 |
出現コレクション: | 学術雑誌掲載論文等 |
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