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タイトル: | Identifying the shift in global wildfire weather conditions over the past four decades: an analysis based on change-points and long-term trends |
著者: | Shi, Ke Touge, Yoshiya ![]() ![]() ![]() |
著者名の別形: | 峠, 嘉哉 |
キーワード: | Change-point Wildfire weather Trend Global |
発行日: | 5-Jan-2023 |
出版者: | Springer Nature |
誌名: | Geoscience Letters |
巻: | 10 |
論文番号: | 3 |
抄録: | Most of studies on change-point at a regional or global scale have only examined a single hydrometeorological variable and have been unable to identify any underlying explanations. In this study, we identified change-points and long-term trends of six wildfire-related variables and attempted to explain the cause of change-point from atmospheric–oceanic indices. As a result, we discovered that the main change-point dates for the precipitation, temperature, and drought codes, as well as the duff moisture code, fine fuel moisture code, and fire weather index, were 1995–2000 and 2000–2005, respectively. Furthermore, the relationship between the change-point of six variables and atmospheric–oceanic indices was discussed through the correlation coefficient. For example, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation was found to dominate the precipitation in West Africa. In addition, we divided the globe into eight homogenous wildfire weather zones based on the change-point dates and long-term trends of the six variables. |
著作権等: | © The Author(s) 2023. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/2433/283306 |
DOI(出版社版): | 10.1186/s40562-022-00255-6 |
出現コレクション: | 学術雑誌掲載論文等 |
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