中・長期気象予報を利用したダム貯水池の長期実時間操作に関する研究

Abstract

Recently, We have been suffering from serious drought situation because of thefluctuation of weather condition and the increase of water demand in themetropolitan area. Moreover, the water resources systems have not taken effect fordrought control because the accuracies of long-term hyetograph and hydrographprediction were too low.In this paper, we will establish the long-term and real-time reservoir operationalsystems considering the middle and long-term weather forecast provided by theMeteorological Agency. Hyetograph and hydrograph are predicted numerizing theresults of weather forecast and introducing the adaptive fuzzy control theory. Therelease from reservoir is decided through the fuzzy control to consider theuncertainty of prediction and operation, too.Finally, the proposed system will be applied into the real basin for verificationof theories.Keywords: drought, middle and long-term weather forecast, reservoir operation, fuzzy control