港湾BCPにおける外貿コンテナ貨物の輸送需要及び代替経路の推計

Abstract

After the Great East Japan Earthquake, the supply chains of many companies were disconnected. For the countermeasures, Port-BCPs (Business Continuity Plan for port management) are now being developed. The most important issue of Port-BCP is how quickly cargo handling capacity can be restored in consideration of the recovery of cargo demand. Based on this background, this study conducts (1) the quantification of the demand for foreign container cargo volume by the estimation of recovery curve of company's operation capacity, and (2) the development of estimation model for alternative port and route corresponding to supply-demand gap.