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タイトル: Proposing a common platform of shipping cost analysis of the Northern Sea Route and the Suez Canal Route
著者: Furuichi, Masahiko
Otsuka, Natsuhiko
著者名の別形: 古市, 正彦
発行日: 9-Oct-2014
出版者: Palgrave Macmillan
誌名: Maritime Economics & Logistics
巻: 17
号: 1
開始ページ: 9
終了ページ: 31
抄録: Maritime trade between East Asia and Northwest Europe using the Northern Sea Route (NSR) has been recently increasing, because ship operators may take advantage of the shorter sailing distance of NSR whose navigable season has become longer because of retreating Arctic sea ice. As Arctic sea ice continues to retreat because of global warming, the NSR is now approximately 40 per cent shorter than the Suez Canal Route (SCR) for such trade. In 2013, shipping on the NSR marked a record 10 year-high volume of 1.36 million tons with 71 voyages. Accordingly, comparative analyses of estimated shipping cost via the NSR and the alternative conventional routes, especially the SCR, have been carried out. Furthermore, NSR/SCR-combined shipping, that is, when a vessel transits the NSR during the warmer months and the SCR in the colder months, has already been proposed as a realistic scenario for Arctic shipping in the previous studies. Since assumptions used in the cost estimations vary among the studies, as discussed by Lasserre, there remain some difficulties when comparing estimated shipping costs. This study aims at establishing a common platform of a wide range of cost estimation assumptions, through clarifying and analysing the cost components contained in the current literature. In addition, interviews with NSR shipping professionals were conducted concerning the NSR fee on an unofficial basis, since typically such fees are determined based on negotiations between ice breaker escort service provider and shipping company. An empirical analysis revealed that NSR/SCR-combined shipping of container cargo between East Asia and Northwest Europe can be commercially feasible.
著作権等: This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in [Maritime Economics & Logistics]. The definitive publisher-authenticated version [Masahiko Furuichi, Natsuhiko Otsuka. Proposing a common platform of shipping cost analysis of the Northern Sea Route and the Suez Canal Route. 17, 9-31] is available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/mel.2014.29.
許諾条件により本文ファイルは2016-04-09に公開.
This is not the published version. Please cite only the published version. この論文は出版社版でありません。引用の際には出版社版をご確認ご利用ください。
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2433/198733
DOI(出版社版): 10.1057/mel.2014.29
出現コレクション:学術雑誌掲載論文

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