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タイトル: Climate Change Impacts on Future Wave Climate around the UK
著者: Bennett, William
Karunarathna, Harshinie
Mori, Nobuhito  kyouindb  KAKEN_id  orcid https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9082-3235 (unconfirmed)
Reeve, Dominic
著者名の別形: 森, 信人
キーワード: storm wave height
global warming
global wave modelling
wave forecasting
coastal flooding
発行日: 18-Nov-2016
出版者: MDPI AG
誌名: Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
巻: 4
号: 4
論文番号: 78
抄録: Understanding the changes in future storm wave climate is crucial for coastal managers and planners to make informed decisions required for sustainable coastal management and for the renewable energy industry. To investigate potential future changes to storm climate around the UK, global wave model outputs of two time slice experiments were analysed with 1979–2009 representing present conditions and 2075–2100 representing the future climate. Three WaveNet buoy sites around the United Kingdom, which represent diverse site conditions and have long datasets, were chosen for this study. A storm event definition (Dissanayake et al., 2015) was used to separate meteorologically-independent storm events from wave data, which in turn allowed storm wave characteristics to be analysed. Model outputs were validated through a comparison of the modelled storm data with observed storm data for overlapping periods. Although no consistent trends across all future clusters were observed, there were no significant increases in storm wave height, storm count or storm power in the future, at least according to the global wave projection results provided by the chosen model.
著作権等: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. (CC BY 4.0).
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2433/226322
DOI(出版社版): 10.3390/jmse4040078
出現コレクション:学術雑誌掲載論文等

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