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タイトル: Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis of the pacific coast of mexico: Case study based on the 1995 colima earthquake tsunami
著者: Mori, Nobuhito  kyouindb  KAKEN_id  orcid https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9082-3235 (unconfirmed)
Muhammad, Ario
Goda, Katsuichiro
Yasuda, Tomohiro
Ruiz-Angulo, Angel
著者名の別形: 森, 信人
キーワード: tsunami
probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment
synthetic slip
slip spectra
1995 Colima earthquake
発行日: 13-Jun-2017
出版者: Frontiers Media SA
誌名: Frontiers in Built Environment
巻: 3
論文番号: 34
抄録: This study develops a novel computational framework to carry out probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for the Pacific coast of Mexico. The new approach enables the consideration of stochastic tsunami source scenarios having variable fault geometry and heterogeneous slip that are constrained by an extensive database of rupture models for historical earthquakes around the world. The assessment focuses upon the 1995 Jalisco–Colima Earthquake Tsunami from a retrospective viewpoint. Numerous source scenarios of large subduction earthquakes are generated to assess the sensitivity and variability of tsunami inundation characteristics of the target region. Analyses of nine slip models along the Mexican Pacific coast are performed, and statistical characteristics of slips (e.g., coherent structures of slip spectra) are estimated. The source variability allows exploring a wide range of tsunami scenarios for a moment magnitude (Mw) 8 subduction earthquake in the Mexican Pacific region to conduct thorough sensitivity analyses and to quantify the tsunami height variability. The numerical results indicate a strong sensitivity of maximum tsunami height to major slip locations in the source and indicate major uncertainty at the first peak of tsunami waves.
著作権等: © 2017 Mori, Muhammad, Goda, Yasuda and Ruiz-Angulo. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2433/259362
DOI(出版社版): 10.3389/fbuil.2017.00034
出現コレクション:学術雑誌掲載論文等

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