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dc.contributor.authorMori, Sotaroen
dc.contributor.authorShimura, Tomoyaen
dc.contributor.authorMiyashita, Takuyaen
dc.contributor.authorWebb, Adreanen
dc.contributor.authorMori, Nobuhitoen
dc.contributor.alternative志村, 智也ja
dc.contributor.alternative宮下, 卓也ja
dc.contributor.alternative森, 信人ja
dc.date.accessioned2023-02-01T10:16:50Z-
dc.date.available2023-02-01T10:16:50Z-
dc.date.issued2022-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2433/279005-
dc.description.abstractWe analyzed tropical cyclones (TC) based on the theory of Maximum Potential Intensity (MPI) and Maximum Potential Surge (MPS) for a long-term assessment of extreme TC intensity and storm surge heights. We investigated future changes in the MPI fields and MPS for different global warming levels based on 150-year continuous scenario projections (HighResMIP) and large ensemble climate projections (d4PDF/d2PDF). Focusing on the Western North Pacific Ocean (WNP), we analyzed future changes in the MPI and found that it reached a maximum in the latitudinal range of 30–40°N in September. We also analyzed future changes in the MPS in major bays of East Asia and along the Pacific coast of Japan. Future changes in the MPS were projected, and it was confirmed that changes in the MPS are larger in bays where large storm surge events have occurred in the past.en
dc.language.isoeng-
dc.publisherTaylor & Francisen
dc.rights© 2022 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.en
dc.rightsThis is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way.en
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/-
dc.subjectClimate changeen
dc.subjectextreme storm surgeen
dc.subjectmaximum potential intensityen
dc.subjectmaximum potential surgeen
dc.titleFuture changes in extreme storm surge based on a maximum potential storm surge model for East Asiaen
dc.typejournal article-
dc.type.niitypeJournal Article-
dc.identifier.jtitleCoastal Engineering Journalen
dc.identifier.volume64-
dc.identifier.issue4-
dc.identifier.spage630-
dc.identifier.epage647-
dc.relation.doi10.1080/21664250.2022.2145682-
dc.textversionpublisher-
dcterms.accessRightsopen access-
datacite.awardNumber19H00782-
datacite.awardNumber.urihttps://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-19H00782/-
dc.identifier.pissn2166-4250-
dc.identifier.eissn1793-6292-
jpcoar.funderName日本学術振興会ja
jpcoar.awardTitle波浪を考慮した大気海面境界素過程の解明と沿岸災害への影響評価ja
出現コレクション:学術雑誌掲載論文等

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