Clustering out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients with non-shockable rhythm by machine learning latent class analysis

Abstract

[Aim] We aimed to identify subphenotypes among patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) with initial non-shockable rhythm by applying machine learning latent class analysis and examining the associations between subphenotypes and neurological outcomes. [Methods] This study was a retrospective analysis within a multi-institutional prospective observational cohort study of OHCA patients in Osaka, Japan (the CRITICAL study). The data of adult OHCA patients with medical causes and initial non-shockable rhythm presenting with OHCA between 2012 and 2016 were included in machine learning latent class analysis models, which identified subphenotypes, and patients who presented in 2017 were included in a dataset validating the subphenotypes. We investigated associations between subphenotypes and 30-day neurological outcomes. [Results] Among the 12, 594 patients in the CRITICAL study database, 4, 849 were included in the dataset used to classify subphenotypes (median age: 75 years, 60.2% male), and 1, 465 were included in the validation dataset (median age: 76 years, 59.0% male). Latent class analysis identified four subphenotypes. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for a favorable 30-day neurological outcome among patients with these subphenotypes, using group 4 for comparison, were as follows; group 1, 0.01 (0.001–0.046); group 2, 0.097 (0.051–0.171); and group 3, 0.175 (0.073–0.358). Associations between subphenotypes and 30-day neurological outcomes were validated using the validation dataset. [Conclusion] We identified four subphenotypes of OHCA patients with initial non-shockable rhythm. These patient subgroups presented with different characteristics associated with 30-day survival and neurological outcomes.