Regional efficiency and total factor productivity change for small and medium sorghum producers in Zambia: A slacks-based measure and Malmquist index approach

Abstract

Zambia's efforts to promote countrywide production of sorghum is backed by a number of apropos factors. It is not only an adaptive response to the climate change challenge, but also a dietary diversity improvement measure, to achieve food and nutrition security. Further, improved sorghum production will supply emerging agro-industries, especially specialty foods, beverages and stock feed manufacturing in the country. However, regional sorghum production efficiencies in Zambia are not well known. This paper attempts to evaluate regional sorghum production technical efficiencies (TE), as well as Total Factor Productivity (TFP) change from 2011 to 2022. To study these aspects, we apply non-parametric Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) techniques such as the Slacks-Based Measure (SBM), and the Malmquist Productivity Index (MPI), followed by bootstrap OLS regression respectively. Cross-sectional estimates from the SBM model for the 2022 cropping season indicate that average TE for small and medium sorghum farmers in Zambia was 85 percent. Sorghum production could be expanded by 411.90 t by improving TE in five of ten provinces in Zambia. The MPI shows that TFP for sorghum production in Zambia declined by 21 percent, mainly due to deteriorating sorghum production technology. Populations, rurality, agro-ecological zone IIB are the factors associated with EC and TFP decline.