Differential Fertility in Indonesia and the Philippines : A Multivariate Analysis(<Special Issue> Commemorative Issue on the Retirement of Professor Kazumasa Kobayashi : Population in Southeast Asia

Abstract

Drawing upon the data derived from the 1976 Indonesia Fertility Survey and the 1978 Republic of the Philippines Fertility Survey, the present study has attempted to identify the sources of differential fertility both in Indonesia and the Philippines. To disentangle the effect of various socioeconomic factors upon fertility changes in both countries, the author has analyzed these data sets on the basis of multiple classification analysis. It should be stressed that this multivariate analytical tool has been applied to tabulated results rather than individual records. The statistical results of this study show that the development of Indonesia is still at a very early stage where the pattern of fertility changes is greatly influenced by a variety of nondevelopmental, involuntary factors. In contrast, the Philippines is at a more advanced stage of socioeconomic development and demographic transition where a number of voluntary factors have been considerably operating with regard to the relationship between fertility and development-related variables.