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s41558-021-01048-z.pdf | 1.61 MB | Adobe PDF | 見る/開く |
タイトル: | A framework for national scenarios with varying emission reductions |
著者: | Fujimori, Shinichiro ![]() ![]() ![]() Krey, Volker Vuuren, Detlef van Oshiro, Ken ![]() ![]() ![]() Sugiyama, Masahiro Chunark, Puttipong Limmeechokchai, Bundit Mittal, Shivika Nishiura, Osamu Park, Chan Rajbhandari, Salony Herran, Diego Silva Tu, Tran Thanh Zhao, Shiya Ochi, Yuki Shukla, Priyardarshi R. Masui, Toshihiko Nguyen, Phuong H. V. Cabardos, Anique-Marie Riahi, Keywan |
著者名の別形: | 藤森, 真一郎 大城, 賢 杉山, 昌広 西浦, 理 趙, 詩雅 越智, 雄輝 増井, 利彦 |
キーワード: | Climate-change mitigation Climate-change policy Socioeconomic scenarios |
発行日: | Jun-2021 |
出版者: | Springer Nature |
誌名: | Nature Climate Change |
巻: | 11 |
号: | 6 |
開始ページ: | 472 |
終了ページ: | 480 |
抄録: | National-level climate actions will be vital in achieving global temperature goals in the coming decades. Near-term (2025–2030) plans are laid out in Nationally Determined Contributions; the next step is the submission of long-term strategies for 2050. At present, national scenarios underpinning long-term strategies are poorly coordinated and incompatible across countries, preventing assessment of individual nations’ climate policies. Here we present a systematic and standardized, yet flexible, scenario framework varying 2050 emissions to build long-term national energy and climate mitigation scenarios. Applying the framework to six major Asian countries reveals individual challenges in energy system transformation and investment needs in comparable scenarios. This framework could be a starting point for comprehensive assessments as input to the Global Stocktake over the coming years. |
記述: | 世界各国の2050年の温室効果ガス削減目標を分析するための国際的な研究フレームワークの提案. 京都大学プレスリリース. 2021-05-28. Pathways to global climate targets. 京都大学プレスリリース. 2021-06-01. |
著作権等: | This version of the article has been accepted for publication, after peer review (when applicable) and is subject to Springer Nature’s AM terms of use, but is not the Version of Record and does not reflect post-acceptance improvements, or any corrections. The Version of Record is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01048-z. This is not the published version. Please cite only the published version. この論文は出版社版でありません。引用の際には出版社版をご確認ご利用ください。 |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/2433/266843 |
DOI(出版社版): | 10.1038/s41558-021-01048-z |
関連リンク: | https://www.kyoto-u.ac.jp/ja/research-news/2021-05-28-4 https://www.kyoto-u.ac.jp/en/research-news/2021-06-01 |
出現コレクション: | 学術雑誌掲載論文等 |
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