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| ファイル | 記述 | サイズ | フォーマット | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21664250.2022.2145682.pdf | 13.88 MB | Adobe PDF | 見る/開く |
| タイトル: | Future changes in extreme storm surge based on a maximum potential storm surge model for East Asia |
| 著者: | Mori, Sotaro Shimura, Tomoya Miyashita, Takuya    https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3196-2726 (unconfirmed)Webb, Adrean Mori, Nobuhito https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9082-3235 (unconfirmed) |
| 著者名の別形: | 志村, 智也 宮下, 卓也 森, 信人 |
| キーワード: | Climate change extreme storm surge maximum potential intensity maximum potential surge |
| 発行日: | 2022 |
| 出版者: | Taylor & Francis |
| 誌名: | Coastal Engineering Journal |
| 巻: | 64 |
| 号: | 4 |
| 開始ページ: | 630 |
| 終了ページ: | 647 |
| 抄録: | We analyzed tropical cyclones (TC) based on the theory of Maximum Potential Intensity (MPI) and Maximum Potential Surge (MPS) for a long-term assessment of extreme TC intensity and storm surge heights. We investigated future changes in the MPI fields and MPS for different global warming levels based on 150-year continuous scenario projections (HighResMIP) and large ensemble climate projections (d4PDF/d2PDF). Focusing on the Western North Pacific Ocean (WNP), we analyzed future changes in the MPI and found that it reached a maximum in the latitudinal range of 30–40°N in September. We also analyzed future changes in the MPS in major bays of East Asia and along the Pacific coast of Japan. Future changes in the MPS were projected, and it was confirmed that changes in the MPS are larger in bays where large storm surge events have occurred in the past. |
| 著作権等: | © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way. |
| URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/2433/279005 |
| DOI(出版社版): | 10.1080/21664250.2022.2145682 |
| 出現コレクション: | 学術雑誌掲載論文等 |
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