Adaptive-Controlled Forecasting for Parts-Oriented Production

Abstract

In Parts-Oriented Production Systems, in which multi-products are produced from several multi-parts, the forecast demand for the parts and products is different from each other. The demand for products depends on the consumers' preference, but the demand for parts depends on the demand for all kinds of various products which contain certain kinds of parts. This paper is concerned with the adaptive-controlled forecasting technique for this kind of production system to fit the actual demand for each part. Namely, it is to decrease the rate of modification of production planning for parts and the total stock, and to stabilize the supply of parts for assembling into products.