入力の確率分布特性を考慮したダム貯水池操作

Abstract

The aim of this study is to propose several efficient operational rules of the dam reservoirsystem considering the predicted input and its residual distribution. At first, there is atraditional control rule where input sequences are defined by an average of an exceedanceprobability. Secondly, there is a stochastic control rule where the optimal release flow ateach control time is decided by combining the input simulation techniques with DP algorithm.Thirdly, there is another stochastic operational rule where the control function is theprobability of the control criteria, that is to say, based on a reliability criteria.Then, above three rules are applied to not only the flood control system but also the lowflow regulation system with the objective of water quantity and turbidity controls.